Description: Professor Shafer has published numerous articles and books, including A Mathematical Theory of Evidence (1976), which launched the Dempster-Shafer theory of uncertain reasoning in the 1970s, and The Art of Causal Conjecture (1996), which established a new way of understanding the relation between correlation and causality. His most recent book is Probability and Finance: It's Only a Game (2001), with Vladimir Vovk. His current interests include game-theoretic probability and finance theory, causal modeling and uncertain reasoning, with application to expert systems and audit judgment, information systems, and foundations of statistical reasoning.
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